Web:AXA/FY25/Activity report/summary: Difference between revisions
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Created page with "== AXA Group — Activity report summary == === December 31, 2025 === === Operating highlights === ==== Governance ==== * Board of Directors proposed the renewal of Thomas Buberl's mandate as director (4-year term) at the 2026 AGM, with intention to reappoint him as CEO. * April 24, 2025 AGM approved renewal of Guillaume Faury and Ramon Fernandez mandates (4 years each) and ratified co-optation of Ewout Steenbergen. Ramon de Oliveira's term ended. * Effective December..." |
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==== Significant transactions ==== |
==== Significant transactions ==== |
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* |
* Nobis Group acquisition (completed April 1, 2025): Upfront consideration €423m with potential [[Definition:Earn-out | earn-out]] of up to €55m. [[Definition:Solvency II | Solvency II]] ratio impact: -1 point in Q2 2025. |
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* |
* Sale of AXA Investment Managers to BNP Paribas (completed July 1, 2025): Cash proceeds of €5.1bn for AXA IM + €0.3bn for Select = €5.4bn total. One-off net income gain of ca. €2.2bn. Expected annualized reduction in [[Definition:Underlying earnings | Underlying Earnings]] of ca. €0.4bn. Long-term partnership established for investment management services. AXA retains full authority over product design, asset allocation and [[Definition:Asset-liability management | asset-liability management]] decisions. Solvency II ratio impact: ca. +2 points (including associated [[Definition:Share buy-back | share buy-back]]) in Q3 2025. |
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* |
* Prima acquisition (completed November 28, 2025): Acquired 51% of the leading Italian direct insurance [[Definition:Managing general agent (MGA) | MGA]] for €0.5bn. Call/put options for remaining stake expected to be exercised in 2029 or 2030. Prima had €1.2bn premiums, ca. 10% Italian retail motor market share, and 90% [[Definition:Combined ratio | combined ratio]] in 2024. Expected to strengthen AXA's position in [[Definition:Direct distribution | direct distribution]], which generated €3.5bn in premiums for the Group in 2024. Solvency II ratio impact: -3 points at closing + expected -2 points over time from premium recapture. |
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==== Capital and debt operations ==== |
==== Capital and debt operations ==== |
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* |
* €1.2bn share buy-back (Feb–May 2025): Aligned with capital management policy. Completed May 19, 2025. All shares cancelled. |
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* |
* €3.8bn share buy-back (Jul 2025–Jan 2026): Offset earnings dilution from AXA IM sale. Completed January 19, 2026. Shares being progressively cancelled. |
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* |
* Shareplan buy-back (Jun–Jun 2025): Up to €724.6m to eliminate dilution from Shareplan 2025 and cover stock-based compensation delivery. |
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* |
* Shareplan 2025 (Dec 2025): [[Definition:Capital increase | Capital increase]] of ca. €411m; ca. 13m new shares issued; ca. 42,000 employees in 40 countries (36%+ participation). Post-Shareplan total shares: 2,136,232,264. Employee ownership: 4.82% of capital, 6.61% of voting rights. |
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* |
* June 2025 debt issuance: €1bn [[Definition:Restricted Tier 1 | Restricted Tier 1]] notes (5.750% fixed until Dec 2030; rated BBB+/Baa1(hyb)) + €1bn [[Definition:Tier 2 | Tier 2]] notes due 2055 (4.375% fixed until Jul 2035; rated A-/A2(hyb)). Both include [[Definition:Loss absorption | loss absorption]] mechanisms under Solvency II. |
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* |
* October 2025 debt issuance: €750m Restricted Tier 1 notes (5.125% fixed until Mar 2032; rated BBB+/A3(hyb)) + €750m Tier 2 notes due 2056 (4.125% fixed until Jul 2036; rated A-/A1(hyb)). |
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=== Events subsequent to December 31, 2025 === |
=== Events subsequent to December 31, 2025 === |
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* |
* €1.25bn share buy-back approved by Board (Feb 25, 2026): Expected to commence as soon as practicable and complete by year-end. All shares to be cancelled. |
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=== Market environment === |
=== Market environment === |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Stock index performance, FY2025 vs. FY2024 (points) |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Index |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Index |
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| Line 95: | Line 95: | ||
* US: S&P 500 +16%; tariff-induced volatility peaked in April, then sentiment recovered on resilient growth and easing expectations. |
* US: S&P 500 +16%; tariff-induced volatility peaked in April, then sentiment recovered on resilient growth and easing expectations. |
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* Europe: Eurostoxx 50 +18% on improved growth outlook; CAC 40 +10% (trailing peers due to fiscal uncertainty); FTSE 100 +22% on attractive valuations. |
* Europe: Eurostoxx 50 +18% on improved growth outlook; CAC 40 +10% (trailing peers due to fiscal uncertainty); FTSE 100 +22% on attractive valuations. |
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* Asia: Nikkei +26% driven by AI boom, weaker yen, and U.S.-Japan trade deal; MSCI Emerging +31%. |
* Asia: Nikkei +26% driven by global AI boom, weaker yen enhancing export competitiveness, and a U.S.-Japan trade deal; MSCI Emerging +31%. |
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==== Bond markets ==== |
==== Bond markets ==== |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Government bond yields and changes, Dec 2023 to Dec 2025 |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Bond |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Bond |
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* Europe: ECB cut deposit rate four times to 2% by year-end. German Bunds rose +49bps (expectations of higher public spending). French OATs +37bps (fiscal discussions). Italian BTPs broadly stable. UK gilts -9bps. |
* Europe: ECB cut deposit rate four times to 2% by year-end. German Bunds rose +49bps (expectations of higher public spending). French OATs +37bps (fiscal discussions). Italian BTPs broadly stable. UK gilts -9bps. |
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* Japan: Sharp +97bps rise to 2.07% as economy exited deflation; BoJ implemented two rate hikes and signaled gradual normalization. |
* Japan: Sharp +97bps rise to 2.07% as economy exited deflation; BoJ implemented two rate hikes and signaled gradual normalization. |
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* Credit spreads tightened: US spreads at tightest since 1998; European spreads compressed across investment grade and high yield. |
* [[Definition:Credit spread | Credit spreads]] tightened: US spreads at tightest since 1998; European spreads compressed across both [[Definition:Investment grade | investment grade]] and [[Definition:High yield | high yield]]. |
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==== Exchange rates ==== |
==== Exchange rates ==== |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Exchange rates vs. EUR, FY2025 |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Currency |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Currency |
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==== Insurance market conditions ==== |
==== Insurance market conditions ==== |
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* |
* France: Savings insurance market +10% (premiums €192bn); [[Definition:Unit-linked | Unit-linked]] +13%, [[Definition:General account | General Account]] +8%; UL share 39%. Total outstanding Life insurance assets reached record €2,107bn (+6%). PER (French retirement support plan) +16% to €20bn. [[Definition:Protection (insurance) | Protection]] and complementary Health market absorbed medical inflation and regulatory changes via ca. 6% average tariff increase. [[Definition:Natural catastrophe | Natural catastrophe]] costs to insurers exceeded €10bn in 2025 (vs. €5bn in 2024). |
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* |
* Europe: Benign P&C nat cat losses. Profitability favorable post-repricing in recent years. Strong demand for UL savings. Health: aging population, rising claims costs, price increases being implemented. Private health insurers focusing on differentiation through services, vertical integration, and digital transformation. |
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* |
* Japan: Life [[Definition:Gross written premiums | gross written premiums]] -2.4% (lower foreign-currency single-premium products); UL segment growing with new entrants. P&C +4% driven by Motor and Fire price increases. |
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* |
* Hong Kong: Life GWP +37%; new business +56% (GA +55%, UL +76%). P&C GWP +9.3%. |
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* |
* United States (Commercial): Transition toward more competitive environment; moderating pricing in short-tail lines; persistent pressure in casualty from [[Definition:Social inflation | social inflation]]; overall profitability remained robust. |
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* Industry trends: Insurers investing in AI and data foundations to enhance efficiency and improve pricing and [[Definition:Underwriting | underwriting]] accuracy. Climate change, casualty trends, AI adoption, and demographic shifts generating new insurable assets, risk concentrations, and product requirements. |
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* '''Emerging markets:''' Asia P&C benefited from Motor (China, Philippines) and Property (Thailand, Philippines). Mexico insurance market +12%; significant legislative change on VAT recoverability in October 2025 impacting Health and P&C profitability. Colombia +8%. Türkiye P&C +43% (30% inflation, volume growth in Motor and Health). |
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* |
* [[Definition:Reinsurance | Reinsurance]]: Additional softening projected for 2026 but profitability expected to remain strong (ROE exceeding cost of capital). |
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* Emerging markets: |
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** Asia P&C benefited from Motor (China, Philippines) and Property (Thailand, Philippines). Thailand Life new business +5% driven by [[Definition:Endowment (insurance) | Endowment]] products. Philippines +15% (Endowment and Corporate Solutions). Indonesia: low [[Definition:Persistency | persistency]] in UL, partly offset by new Endowment and Protection launches. |
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** Mexico insurance market +12%; significant legislative change on VAT recoverability in October 2025 impacting Health and P&C profitability. Colombia +8%. Türkiye P&C +43% (30% inflation, volume growth in Motor and Health). |
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==== Rankings and market share ==== |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 Market rankings and share by country and business line (%) |
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|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Country |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | P&C ranking |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | P&C market share (%) |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Life ranking |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Life market share (%) |
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! style="background:#eaecf0" | Comments |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | France |
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| 2 |
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| 13.2 |
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| 6 |
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| 7.4 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* France Assureurs as of Dec 31, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Switzerland |
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| 1 |
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| 13.3 |
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| 3 |
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| 10.0 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* SIA (Swiss Insurance Association) estimates as of Feb 5, 2026 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Germany |
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| 4 |
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| 5.2 |
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| 7 |
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| 3.4 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* GDV as of Dec 31, 2024 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Belgium |
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| 2 |
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| 16.7 |
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| 5 |
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| 6.8 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Assuralia based on GWP as of Dec 31, 2024, extrapolated to Dec 31, 2025 using Q3 growth |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | United Kingdom |
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| 6 |
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| 6.0 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Association of British Insurers (retail) and GlobalData (commercial) |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Ireland |
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| 1 |
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| 17.2 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Insuranceireland.eu FactFile 2024 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Spain |
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| 6 |
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| 5.7 |
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| 8 |
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| 3.0 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* ICEA as of Dec 31, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Italy |
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| 4 |
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| 7.2 |
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| 10 |
|||
| 3.1 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* ANIA as of Dec 31, 2024 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Japan |
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| 14 |
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| 0.5 |
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| 10 |
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| 4.1 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Disclosed financial reports (excl. KampoLife) for 12 months ended Sep 30, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Hong Kong |
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| 2 |
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| 9.2 |
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| 9 |
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| 5.0 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Insurance Authority: Life GWP as of Sep 30, 2025; P&C GWP as of Dec 31, 2024 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | XL Insurance (US) |
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| 16 |
|||
| 1.5 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* AMBest 2024 (Bestlink US Commercial Group Ranking) as of Dec 31, 2024 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Thailand |
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| 13 |
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| 2.2 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 7.2 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* TGIA and TLAA as of Oct 31, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Indonesia |
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| — |
|||
| — |
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| 5 |
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| 7.0 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* AAJI (Weighted New Business Premiums) as of Sep 30, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Philippines |
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| 8 |
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| 3.0 |
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| 6 |
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| 20.0 (TPI) / 27.3 (NBAPE) |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Life Insurance Commission: Life TPI and P&C GWP both as of Sep 30, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | China |
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| — |
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| 0.3 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* NFRA as of Dec 31, 2025. P&C ranking and Life ranking/share not disclosed by NFRA |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Mexico |
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| 4 |
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| 7.9 |
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| 11 |
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| 1.6 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* AMIS as of Sep 30, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Brazil |
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| 11 |
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| 2.7 |
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| — |
|||
| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* SUSEP as of Oct 31, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Colombia |
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| 3 |
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| 9.4 |
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| 12 |
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| 1.0 |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Fasecolda as of Nov 30, 2025 |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Türkiye |
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| 4 |
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| 8.3 |
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| — |
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| — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Insurers association as of Nov 30, 2025 |
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|} |
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</div> |
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=== Activity and earnings indicators === |
=== Activity and earnings indicators === |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 GWP and other revenues by segment, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
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| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''110,316''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''110,316''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+6.5%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+6.5%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
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* '''Reported: +4.7%''' |
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* '''Comparable-basis restatement of €+2.0bn (+1.8pts) from scope (Nobis, Laya, AXA IM sale) and FX (EUR appreciation vs. USD, TRY, MXN, HKD; partly offset by CHF)''' |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Property & Casualty |
| style="text-align:left" | Property & Casualty |
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| Line 237: | Line 409: | ||
| +5.2% |
| +5.2% |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
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* ↑ Commercial lines +4%: AXA XL Insurance +3% (Property, Casualty price/volume; Financial lines lower); Asia/Africa/EME-LATAM +13% (Türkiye, Mexico); France +6% (price + volume) |
* ↑ Commercial lines +4%: AXA XL Insurance +3% (Property, Casualty price/volume; Financial lines lower); Asia/Africa/EME-LATAM +13% (Türkiye higher avg. premiums, Mexico price/volume); France +6% (price + volume) |
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* ↑ Personal lines +7%: Europe +5% (price except UK&I Motor softening); Asia/Africa/EME-LATAM +14% (Türkiye); France +9% (volume |
* ↑ Personal lines +7%: Europe +5% (price across geographies, except UK&I Motor softening post-2024 repricing); Asia/Africa/EME-LATAM +14% (Türkiye); France +9% (volume growth in all lines, Motor price) |
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* ↑ AXA XL Reinsurance +8%: alternative capital growth + Casualty price, offset by softening in other lines |
* ↑ AXA XL Reinsurance +8%: [[Definition:Alternative capital | alternative capital]] growth + Casualty price, offset by softening in other lines |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Life & Health |
| style="text-align:left" | Life & Health |
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| Line 247: | Line 419: | ||
| +8.0% |
| +8.0% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↑ Life +9%: UL +13% (successful sales across all geographies); GA +4% (France + Italy capital-light product, partly offset by Japan and HK); Protection +11% (HK campaign, Japan and Switzerland) |
* ↑ Life +9%: UL +13% (successful sales across all geographies); GA +4% (France + Italy capital-light product, partly offset by non-repeat of Japan [[Definition:Whole life insurance | whole-life]] product and lower HK sales); Protection +11% (HK campaign, Japan and Switzerland) |
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* ↑ Health +5%: favorable price effects in Group and Individual businesses across most geographies; partly offset by lower volumes |
* ↑ Health +5%: favorable price effects in Group and Individual businesses across most geographies; partly offset by lower volumes |
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|- |
|- |
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| Line 269: | Line 441: | ||
| 1,701 |
| 1,701 |
||
| n.a. |
| n.a. |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* FY25 contribution only until July 1, 2025 (sale to BNP Paribas) |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Banking |
| style="text-align:left" | Banking |
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| Line 276: | Line 449: | ||
| 118 |
| 118 |
||
| -16.2% |
| -16.2% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↓ Market slowdown + higher funding costs |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Net flows |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Net flows | Net flows]] |
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| €m |
| €m |
||
| 5,397 |
| 5,397 |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 GWP and other revenues by geography, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
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| Line 307: | Line 481: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''110,316''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''110,316''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+6.5%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+6.5%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Reported: +4.7%''' |
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|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | France |
| style="text-align:left" | France |
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| Line 342: | Line 517: | ||
| 1,701 |
| 1,701 |
||
| n.m. |
| n.m. |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Consolidated until July 1, 2025 |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | Transversal & Other |
| style="text-align:left" | Transversal & Other |
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<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 New business metrics, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
||
|- |
|- |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
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| Line 366: | Line 542: | ||
! style="background:#eaecf0" | Comments |
! style="background:#eaecf0" | Comments |
||
|- |
|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | PVEP |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Present value of expected premiums (PVEP) | PVEP]] |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| 49,357 |
| 49,357 |
||
| Line 376: | Line 552: | ||
* Reported: -3% |
* Reported: -3% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | NB CSM |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:New business contractual service margin | NB CSM]] |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| 2,199 |
| 2,199 |
||
| Line 400: | Line 576: | ||
| 4.4% |
| 4.4% |
||
| +0.1 pt |
| +0.1 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* +0.1pt on both reported and comparable basis |
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|} |
|} |
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</div> |
</div> |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Underlying earnings by business segment, FY2025 vs. FY2024 (€m) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
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| Line 424: | Line 601: | ||
| 72,104 |
| 72,104 |
||
| +4% |
| +4% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* P&C: 57,656 (vs. 55,898); L&H: 17,416 (vs. 16,207) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term technical margin |
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term [[Definition:Technical margin | technical margin]] |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| 5,888 |
| 5,888 |
||
| 5,421 |
| 5,421 |
||
| +9% |
| +9% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* P&C: 5,409 (vs. 5,006); L&H: 479 (vs. 415) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | P&C combined ratio |
| style="text-align:left" | P&C combined ratio |
||
| Line 439: | Line 618: | ||
| -0.3 pt |
| -0.3 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↓ Current-year loss ratio excl. nat cat -0.3pt |
* ↓ Current-year loss ratio excl. nat cat -0.3pt: Commercial lines -0.5pt (SME/mid-market -0.9pt in favorable pricing); Personal lines -0.4pt; AXA XL Insurance stable (+0.1pt) |
||
* ↓ Expense ratio -0.3pt (non-commission efficiency gains) |
* ↓ [[Definition:Expense ratio | Expense ratio]] -0.3pt (non-commission efficiency gains) |
||
* ↓ Nat cat charges -0.4pt to 3.4% |
* ↓ Nat cat charges -0.4pt to 3.4% |
||
* ↑ Lower prior-year reserve releases +0.7pt (to -1.1%) |
* ↑ Lower [[Definition:Prior-year reserve development | prior-year reserve]] releases +0.7pt (to -1.1%) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | L&H short-term combined ratio |
| style="text-align:left" | L&H short-term combined ratio |
||
| Line 449: | Line 628: | ||
| 97.4% |
| 97.4% |
||
| -0.2 pt |
| -0.2 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 95.4% (vs. 95.5%); Health: 97.9% (vs. 98.1%) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | CSM release |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Contractual service margin (CSM) | CSM]] release |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| 2,954 |
| 2,954 |
||
| 2,775 |
| 2,775 |
||
| +6% |
| +6% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↑ Business growth in reserves + better margins in long-term business |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Technical experience |
| style="text-align:left" | Technical experience |
||
| Line 470: | Line 651: | ||
| 3,971 |
| 3,971 |
||
| +1% |
| +1% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* P&C: 2,631 (vs. 2,559); L&H: 946 (vs. 975); AM: 14 (vs. 35); Holdings: 422 (vs. 402) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | UE before tax |
| style="text-align:left" | UE before tax |
||
| Line 477: | Line 659: | ||
| 10,700 |
| 10,700 |
||
| +3% |
| +3% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* P&C: 8,040 (vs. 7,565); L&H: 4,229 (vs. 4,070); AM: 239 (vs. 546); Holdings: (1,464) vs. (1,482) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Income tax |
| style="text-align:left" | Income tax |
||
| Line 491: | Line 674: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''8,078''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''8,078''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+4%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+4%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Constant FX: +6% (€+469m)''' |
|||
* '''P&C +9% (€+501m); L&H +7% (€+219m); AM €-228m; Holdings €-24m''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | o/w P&C |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w P&C |
||
| Line 501: | Line 686: | ||
* Constant FX: +9% (€+501m) |
* Constant FX: +9% (€+501m) |
||
* ↑ Technical result €+482m (volume growth + margin improvement) |
* ↑ Technical result €+482m (volume growth + margin improvement) |
||
* ↑ Financial results €+200m (higher volumes + reinvestment yields on fixed income, partly offset by higher discount unwind) |
* ↑ Financial results €+200m (higher volumes + reinvestment yields on fixed income, partly offset by higher discount unwind on [[Definition:Claims reserves | claims reserves]]) |
||
* ↓ Higher income taxes €-169m |
* ↓ Higher income taxes €-169m |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| Line 512: | Line 697: | ||
* Constant FX: +7% (€+219m) |
* Constant FX: +7% (€+219m) |
||
* ↑ Long-term technical result €+156m (CSM release growth) |
* ↑ Long-term technical result €+156m (CSM release growth) |
||
* ↑ Short-term technical result €+60m (pricing, underwriting, claims management actions; net of Mexico VAT impact €-114m) |
* ↑ Short-term technical result €+60m (pricing, underwriting, [[Definition:Claims management | claims management]] actions; net of Mexico VAT legislative change impact €-114m) |
||
* ↑ Lower income taxes €+65m (favorable tax effects in Germany, France, Mexico) |
* ↑ Lower income taxes €+65m (favorable tax effects in Germany, France, Mexico) |
||
* ↓ Lower affiliate contributions, higher minority interests |
* ↓ Lower affiliate contributions (notably ICBC-AXA), higher minority interests (improved AXA MPS results) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Asset Management |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Asset Management |
||
| Line 521: | Line 706: | ||
| 402 |
| 402 |
||
| -56% |
| -56% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* FY25 includes only H1 2025 contribution (disposal July 1, 2025) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Holdings |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Holdings |
||
| Line 528: | Line 714: | ||
| (1,157) |
| (1,157) |
||
| -2% |
| -2% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Broadly stable on reported and constant FX basis |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | CSM stock |
| style="text-align:left" | CSM stock |
||
| Line 535: | Line 722: | ||
| 33,853 |
| 33,853 |
||
| -2% |
| -2% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* P&C: 261 (vs. 282); L&H: 32,991 (vs. 33,571) |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 543: | Line 731: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Underlying earnings Group share by geography, FY2025 vs. FY2024 (€m) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
||
| Line 557: | Line 745: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''8,078''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''8,078''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+4%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+4%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Constant FX: +6%''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | France |
| style="text-align:left" | France |
||
| Line 592: | Line 781: | ||
| 402 |
| 402 |
||
| -56% |
| -56% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* H1 2025 only |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Transversal & Other |
| style="text-align:left" | Transversal & Other |
||
| Line 607: | Line 797: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 P&C combined ratio by geography, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Geography |
||
| Line 621: | Line 811: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''91.0%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''91.0%''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''-0.3 pt''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''-0.3 pt''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''On constant FX basis''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | France |
| style="text-align:left" | France |
||
| Line 671: | Line 862: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 P&C combined ratio by line of business, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Line of business |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Line of business |
||
| Line 692: | Line 883: | ||
| 91.1% |
| 91.1% |
||
| -0.4 pt |
| -0.4 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Revenues: €39,090m (vs. €38,019m) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Personal lines |
| style="text-align:left" | Personal lines |
||
| Line 699: | Line 891: | ||
| 93.9% |
| 93.9% |
||
| -1.1 pt |
| -1.1 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Revenues: €19,276m (vs. €18,705m) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | AXA XL Reinsurance |
| style="text-align:left" | AXA XL Reinsurance |
||
| Line 706: | Line 899: | ||
| 79.7% |
| 79.7% |
||
| +1.7 pt |
| +1.7 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Revenues: €2,493m (vs. €2,394m) |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 714: | Line 908: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Life & Health underlying earnings, FY2025 vs. FY2024 (€m) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
||
| Line 728: | Line 922: | ||
| 16,207 |
| 16,207 |
||
| +7% |
| +7% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 4,444 (vs. 4,247); Health: 12,972 (vs. 11,960) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term combined ratio |
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term combined ratio |
||
| Line 735: | Line 930: | ||
| 97.4% |
| 97.4% |
||
| -0.2 pt |
| -0.2 pt |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 95.4% (vs. 95.5%); Health: 97.9% (vs. 98.1%) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term technical margin |
| style="text-align:left" | Short-term technical margin |
||
| Line 742: | Line 938: | ||
| 415 |
| 415 |
||
| +15% |
| +15% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 206 (vs. 191); Health: 273 (vs. 224) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | CSM release |
| style="text-align:left" | CSM release |
||
| Line 749: | Line 946: | ||
| 2,775 |
| 2,775 |
||
| +6% |
| +6% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 2,415 (vs. 2,253); Health: 539 (vs. 522) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Technical experience |
| style="text-align:left" | Technical experience |
||
| Line 756: | Line 954: | ||
| (95) |
| (95) |
||
| -58% |
| -58% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: (139) vs. (98); Health: (11) vs. 3 |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Financial result |
| style="text-align:left" | Financial result |
||
| Line 763: | Line 962: | ||
| 975 |
| 975 |
||
| -3% |
| -3% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 738 (vs. 799); Health: 209 (vs. 176) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | UE before tax |
| style="text-align:left" | UE before tax |
||
| Line 770: | Line 970: | ||
| 4,070 |
| 4,070 |
||
| +4% |
| +4% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 3,219 (vs. 3,145); Health: 1,010 (vs. 925) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Income tax |
| style="text-align:left" | Income tax |
||
| Line 777: | Line 978: | ||
| (874) |
| (874) |
||
| +8% |
| +8% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Favorable tax effects in Germany, France, Mexico |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left; border-top:1px solid #a2a9b1; background:#f8f9fa" | '''UE Group share''' |
| style="text-align:left; border-top:1px solid #a2a9b1; background:#f8f9fa" | '''UE Group share''' |
||
| Line 784: | Line 986: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''3,323''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''3,323''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+5%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+5%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Life: 2,715 (vs. 2,636); Health: 787 (vs. 687)''' |
|||
* '''Constant FX: +7% (€+219m)''' |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | CSM stock |
| style="text-align:left" | CSM stock |
||
| Line 791: | Line 995: | ||
| 33,571 |
| 33,571 |
||
| -2% |
| -2% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Life: 25,442 (vs. 25,826); Health: 7,550 (vs. 7,744) |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 799: | Line 1,004: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Net income Group share bridge, FY2025 vs. FY2024 (€m) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
||
| Line 813: | Line 1,018: | ||
| 8,078 |
| 8,078 |
||
| +4% |
| +4% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Constant FX: +6% (€+469m) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Net realized capital gains & losses |
| style="text-align:left" | Net realized capital gains & losses |
||
| Line 820: | Line 1,026: | ||
| 195 |
| 195 |
||
| -29% |
| -29% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↓ €-59m, primarily lower gains on investment properties (France) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Fair value of funds & derivatives |
| style="text-align:left" | Fair value of funds & derivatives |
||
| Line 838: | Line 1,045: | ||
| (131) |
| (131) |
||
| +34% |
| +34% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↑ €+40m improvement; mainly AXA XL and Switzerland |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Integration & restructuring costs |
| style="text-align:left" | Integration & restructuring costs |
||
| Line 855: | Line 1,063: | ||
| (99) |
| (99) |
||
| n.m. |
| n.m. |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↑ €+2,483m; includes one-off gain from AXA IM disposal of €2,227m in H2 2025 |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left; border-top:1px solid #a2a9b1; background:#f8f9fa" | '''Net income Group share''' |
| style="text-align:left; border-top:1px solid #a2a9b1; background:#f8f9fa" | '''Net income Group share''' |
||
| Line 862: | Line 1,071: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''7,886''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''7,886''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+24%''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+24%''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Constant FX: +26% (€+2,069m)''' |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 870: | Line 1,080: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Shareholders' equity Group share movement, FY2024 to FY2025 (€m) |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Item |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Item |
||
| Line 895: | Line 1,105: | ||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| (4,863) |
| (4,863) |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Includes share buy-backs |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Impact of currency fluctuations |
| style="text-align:left" | Impact of currency fluctuations |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| (3,549) |
| (3,549) |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Mainly USD, JPY depreciation against EUR |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Fair value recorded in shareholders' equity |
| style="text-align:left" | Fair value recorded in shareholders' equity |
||
| Line 932: | Line 1,144: | ||
| style="text-align:left" | — |
| style="text-align:left" | — |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Undated subordinated debt (incl. interest) |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Subordinated debt | Undated subordinated debt]] (incl. interest) |
||
| €m |
| €m |
||
| (300) |
| (300) |
||
| Line 945: | Line 1,157: | ||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''€m''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''€m''' |
||
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''47,171''' |
| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''47,171''' |
||
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
| style="text-align:left; background:#f8f9fa" | |
||
* '''Net decrease of €2,772m driven by share buy-backs (€4,863m paid-in capital) and FX (€-3,549m), partly offset by net income (€+9,797m)''' |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 953: | Line 1,166: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Solvency II metrics, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
||
| Line 962: | Line 1,175: | ||
! style="background:#eaecf0" | Comments |
! style="background:#eaecf0" | Comments |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Eligible Own Funds |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Eligible own funds | Eligible Own Funds]] |
||
| €bn |
| €bn |
||
| 56.4 |
| 56.4 |
||
| Line 977: | Line 1,190: | ||
* ↑ AXA IM sale and associated buy-back: ca. +2pts in Q3 2025 |
* ↑ AXA IM sale and associated buy-back: ca. +2pts in Q3 2025 |
||
* ↓ Nobis acquisition: -1pt in Q2 2025 |
* ↓ Nobis acquisition: -1pt in Q2 2025 |
||
* ↓ Prima acquisition: -3pts at closing; additional -2pts expected over time |
* ↓ Prima acquisition: -3pts at closing; additional -2pts expected over time from premium recapture |
||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 985: | Line 1,198: | ||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
||
|+ 📈 |
|+ 📈 Earnings per share and return on equity, FY2025 vs. FY2024 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Metric |
||
| Line 999: | Line 1,212: | ||
| 2,197 |
| 2,197 |
||
| -3% |
| -3% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* ↓ Share buy-backs, partly offset by Shareplan 2025 issuance |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Underlying EPS (fully diluted) |
| style="text-align:left" | Underlying EPS (fully diluted) |
||
| Line 1,006: | Line 1,220: | ||
| 3.59 |
| 3.59 |
||
| +8% |
| +8% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Basic: €3.87 (vs. €3.60) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Net income EPS (fully diluted) |
| style="text-align:left" | Net income EPS (fully diluted) |
||
| Line 1,013: | Line 1,228: | ||
| 3.50 |
| 3.50 |
||
| +30% |
| +30% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Basic: €4.54 (vs. €3.51) |
|||
* Driven by AXA IM disposal gain (one-off) |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Underlying ROE |
| style="text-align:left" | Underlying ROE |
||
| Line 1,020: | Line 1,237: | ||
| 15.2% |
| 15.2% |
||
| +0.8 pts |
| +0.8 pts |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* UE (adj.) €8.2bn / avg. adj. shareholders' equity €51.3bn |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Net income ROE |
| style="text-align:left" | Net income ROE |
||
| Line 1,027: | Line 1,245: | ||
| 14.8% |
| 14.8% |
||
| +3.9 pts |
| +3.9 pts |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* NI (adj.) €9.6bn / avg. adj. shareholders' equity €51.3bn |
|||
* Includes one-off AXA IM disposal gain |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left" | Avg. adj. shareholders' equity |
| style="text-align:left" | Avg. adj. shareholders' equity |
||
| Line 1,034: | Line 1,254: | ||
| 51.8 |
| 51.8 |
||
| -1% |
| -1% |
||
| style="text-align:left" | |
| style="text-align:left" | |
||
* Excludes fair value reserves on assets/derivatives, insurance contracts, undated sub debt |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | [[Definition:Debt gearing | Debt gearing]] |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | |
|||
* Not disclosed in this report; refer to 2024 URD for definition |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
</div> |
</div> |
||
| Line 1,040: | Line 1,269: | ||
=== Outlook === |
=== Outlook === |
||
* |
* Final year of 2024-2026 "Unlock the Future" plan. Management confident in achieving main financial targets, underpinned by profitable organic growth, scaling technical capabilities, and driving operational efficiency through reinforced cost management. |
||
* |
* P&C: Pricing remains favorable in Retail and SME/Mid-market; expect continued earn-through of higher pricing and underwriting actions. AXA XL: disciplined cycle management and capital allocation, growing where returns exceed cost of capital. Normalized nat cat load guidance: ca. 4.5 points of combined ratio for 2026. |
||
* |
* Life & Health: Earnings growth expected from short-term business (disciplined pricing and claims management). Long-term business strategy focused on rejuvenating sales, improving [[Definition:Persistency | persistency]], and driving positive [[Definition:Net flows | net flows]] to grow CSM over time. |
||
* |
* Holdings: 2026 results expected at a similar level to 2025. |
||
* |
* Financial targets: |
||
** Underlying EPS growth at the upper end of 6-8% CAGR range for both the 2023-2026E plan period and for 2026. |
** Underlying EPS growth at the upper end of 6-8% CAGR range for both the 2023-2026E plan period and for 2026. |
||
** Underlying ROE between 14-16% over 2024-2026E. |
** Underlying ROE between 14-16% over 2024-2026E. |
||
** Cumulative organic cash upstream in excess of €21bn for 2024-2026. |
** Cumulative organic cash upstream in excess of €21bn for 2024-2026. |
||
* |
* Capital management policy: 75% total payout ratio (60% dividend payout + 15% annual share buy-backs). Proposed DPS in a given year expected to be at least equal to prior year's DPS. |
||
=== Market rankings and share === |
|||
<div style="overflow-x: auto;"> |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
|||
|+ 📈 '''AXA market rankings and share by country and business line (%)''' |
|||
|- |
|||
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:12em" | Country |
|||
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | P&C ranking |
|||
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | P&C market share (%) |
|||
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Life ranking |
|||
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Life market share (%) |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | France |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 13.2 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 7.4 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Switzerland |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 13.3 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 10.0 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Germany |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 5.2 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 3.4 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Belgium |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 16.7 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 6.8 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | United Kingdom |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 6.0 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Ireland |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 17.2 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Spain |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 5.7 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
| 3.0 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Italy |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 7.2 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
| 3.1 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Japan |
|||
| 14 |
|||
| 0.5 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
| 4.1 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Hong Kong |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 9.2 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
| 5.0 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | XL Insurance (US) |
|||
| 16 |
|||
| 1.5 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Thailand |
|||
| 13 |
|||
| 2.2 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 7.2 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Indonesia |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 7.0 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Philippines |
|||
| 8 |
|||
| 3.0 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 20.0 / 27.3 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | China |
|||
| — |
|||
| 0.3 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Mexico |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 7.9 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
| 1.6 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Brazil |
|||
| 11 |
|||
| 2.7 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Colombia |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 9.4 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
| 1.0 |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left" | Türkiye |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 8.3 |
|||
| — |
|||
| — |
|||
|} |
|||
</div> |
|||
Revision as of 15:00, 21 March 2026
AXA Group — Activity report summary
December 31, 2025
Operating highlights
Governance
- Board of Directors proposed the renewal of Thomas Buberl's mandate as director (4-year term) at the 2026 AGM, with intention to reappoint him as CEO.
- April 24, 2025 AGM approved renewal of Guillaume Faury and Ramon Fernandez mandates (4 years each) and ratified co-optation of Ewout Steenbergen. Ramon de Oliveira's term ended.
- Effective December 1, 2025, leadership changes for next strategic cycle:
- Guillaume Borie appointed Global Head of Finance, Strategy, Underwriting, Risk and Technology (replacing Frédéric de Courtois).
- Mathieu Godart appointed CEO of AXA France, joining the Management Committee.
- Karima Silvent appointed Deputy General Secretary (HR, Audit, Compliance, AXA EssentiALL, GIE AXA).
- Matthieu Caillat appointed Group Chief Technology & AI Officer and CEO of AXA Group Operations.
- Ewout Steenbergen appointed Chair of Audit Committee (December 11, 2025), succeeding Isabel Hudson who stepped down December 31, 2025.
Significant transactions
- Nobis Group acquisition (completed April 1, 2025): Upfront consideration €423m with potential earn-out of up to €55m. Solvency II ratio impact: -1 point in Q2 2025.
- Sale of AXA Investment Managers to BNP Paribas (completed July 1, 2025): Cash proceeds of €5.1bn for AXA IM + €0.3bn for Select = €5.4bn total. One-off net income gain of ca. €2.2bn. Expected annualized reduction in Underlying Earnings of ca. €0.4bn. Long-term partnership established for investment management services. AXA retains full authority over product design, asset allocation and asset-liability management decisions. Solvency II ratio impact: ca. +2 points (including associated share buy-back) in Q3 2025.
- Prima acquisition (completed November 28, 2025): Acquired 51% of the leading Italian direct insurance MGA for €0.5bn. Call/put options for remaining stake expected to be exercised in 2029 or 2030. Prima had €1.2bn premiums, ca. 10% Italian retail motor market share, and 90% combined ratio in 2024. Expected to strengthen AXA's position in direct distribution, which generated €3.5bn in premiums for the Group in 2024. Solvency II ratio impact: -3 points at closing + expected -2 points over time from premium recapture.
Capital and debt operations
- €1.2bn share buy-back (Feb–May 2025): Aligned with capital management policy. Completed May 19, 2025. All shares cancelled.
- €3.8bn share buy-back (Jul 2025–Jan 2026): Offset earnings dilution from AXA IM sale. Completed January 19, 2026. Shares being progressively cancelled.
- Shareplan buy-back (Jun–Jun 2025): Up to €724.6m to eliminate dilution from Shareplan 2025 and cover stock-based compensation delivery.
- Shareplan 2025 (Dec 2025): Capital increase of ca. €411m; ca. 13m new shares issued; ca. 42,000 employees in 40 countries (36%+ participation). Post-Shareplan total shares: 2,136,232,264. Employee ownership: 4.82% of capital, 6.61% of voting rights.
- June 2025 debt issuance: €1bn Restricted Tier 1 notes (5.750% fixed until Dec 2030; rated BBB+/Baa1(hyb)) + €1bn Tier 2 notes due 2055 (4.375% fixed until Jul 2035; rated A-/A2(hyb)). Both include loss absorption mechanisms under Solvency II.
- October 2025 debt issuance: €750m Restricted Tier 1 notes (5.125% fixed until Mar 2032; rated BBB+/A3(hyb)) + €750m Tier 2 notes due 2056 (4.125% fixed until Jul 2036; rated A-/A1(hyb)).
Events subsequent to December 31, 2025
- €1.25bn share buy-back approved by Board (Feb 25, 2026): Expected to commence as soon as practicable and complete by year-end. All shares to be cancelled.
Market environment
Stock markets
| Index | Dec 31, 2025 | YoY change 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | YoY change 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 8,150 | +10% | 7,381 | -2% |
| Eurostoxx 50 | 5,791 | +18% | 4,896 | +8% |
| FTSE 100 | 9,931 | +22% | 8,173 | +6% |
| Nikkei | 50,339 | +26% | 39,895 | +19% |
| S&P 500 | 6,846 | +16% | 5,882 | +23% |
| MSCI World | 4,430 | +19% | 3,708 | +17% |
| MSCI Emerging | 1,404 | +31% | 1,075 | +5% |
- Global equities delivered another strong year despite geopolitical and macro uncertainties. Disinflation trends, clearer monetary signals, and resilient corporate earnings supported markets.
- US: S&P 500 +16%; tariff-induced volatility peaked in April, then sentiment recovered on resilient growth and easing expectations.
- Europe: Eurostoxx 50 +18% on improved growth outlook; CAC 40 +10% (trailing peers due to fiscal uncertainty); FTSE 100 +22% on attractive valuations.
- Asia: Nikkei +26% driven by global AI boom, weaker yen enhancing export competitiveness, and a U.S.-Japan trade deal; MSCI Emerging +31%.
Bond markets
| Bond | Dec 31, 2025 | YoY change (bps) | Dec 31, 2024 | YoY change (bps) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Y French bond | 3.56% | +37 | 3.20% | +64 |
| 10Y German bond | 2.86% | +49 | 2.37% | +34 |
| 10Y Swiss bond | 0.32% | -1 | 0.33% | -38 |
| 10Y Italian bond | 3.55% | +3 | 3.52% | -18 |
| 10Y UK bond | 4.48% | -9 | 4.57% | +103 |
| 10Y Japanese bond | 2.07% | +97 | 1.10% | +49 |
| 10Y US bond | 4.17% | -40 | 4.57% | +69 |
- US: Three Fed rate cuts in Q4; 10Y Treasury fell to 4.17% (-40bps) but long-term yields stayed relatively resilient on fiscal concerns.
- Europe: ECB cut deposit rate four times to 2% by year-end. German Bunds rose +49bps (expectations of higher public spending). French OATs +37bps (fiscal discussions). Italian BTPs broadly stable. UK gilts -9bps.
- Japan: Sharp +97bps rise to 2.07% as economy exited deflation; BoJ implemented two rate hikes and signaled gradual normalization.
- Credit spreads tightened: US spreads at tightest since 1998; European spreads compressed across both investment grade and high yield.
Exchange rates
| Currency | End of period Dec 31, 2025 | EoP change | Average 2025 | Average change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Dollar | 1.17 | +13% | 1.13 | +5% |
| British Pound Sterling | 0.87 | +6% | 0.86 | +1% |
| Swiss Franc | 0.93 | -1% | 0.94 | -2% |
| Japanese Yen | 184 | +13% | 169 | +3% |
- Sharp USD depreciation driven by faster Fed easing, narrowing rate differentials, and U.S. fiscal/monetary policy concerns. EUR ended at USD 1.17 (+13%).
- EUR +6% vs. GBP (UK growth softening, BoE more accommodative); broadly stable vs. CHF (-1%); +13% vs. JPY (wide rate differentials despite BoJ normalization).
Insurance market conditions
- France: Savings insurance market +10% (premiums €192bn); Unit-linked +13%, General Account +8%; UL share 39%. Total outstanding Life insurance assets reached record €2,107bn (+6%). PER (French retirement support plan) +16% to €20bn. Protection and complementary Health market absorbed medical inflation and regulatory changes via ca. 6% average tariff increase. Natural catastrophe costs to insurers exceeded €10bn in 2025 (vs. €5bn in 2024).
- Europe: Benign P&C nat cat losses. Profitability favorable post-repricing in recent years. Strong demand for UL savings. Health: aging population, rising claims costs, price increases being implemented. Private health insurers focusing on differentiation through services, vertical integration, and digital transformation.
- Japan: Life gross written premiums -2.4% (lower foreign-currency single-premium products); UL segment growing with new entrants. P&C +4% driven by Motor and Fire price increases.
- Hong Kong: Life GWP +37%; new business +56% (GA +55%, UL +76%). P&C GWP +9.3%.
- United States (Commercial): Transition toward more competitive environment; moderating pricing in short-tail lines; persistent pressure in casualty from social inflation; overall profitability remained robust.
- Industry trends: Insurers investing in AI and data foundations to enhance efficiency and improve pricing and underwriting accuracy. Climate change, casualty trends, AI adoption, and demographic shifts generating new insurable assets, risk concentrations, and product requirements.
- Reinsurance: Additional softening projected for 2026 but profitability expected to remain strong (ROE exceeding cost of capital).
- Emerging markets:
- Asia P&C benefited from Motor (China, Philippines) and Property (Thailand, Philippines). Thailand Life new business +5% driven by Endowment products. Philippines +15% (Endowment and Corporate Solutions). Indonesia: low persistency in UL, partly offset by new Endowment and Protection launches.
- Mexico insurance market +12%; significant legislative change on VAT recoverability in October 2025 impacting Health and P&C profitability. Colombia +8%. Türkiye P&C +43% (30% inflation, volume growth in Motor and Health).
| Country | P&C ranking | P&C market share (%) | Life ranking | Life market share (%) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2 | 13.2 | 6 | 7.4 |
|
| Switzerland | 1 | 13.3 | 3 | 10.0 |
|
| Germany | 4 | 5.2 | 7 | 3.4 |
|
| Belgium | 2 | 16.7 | 5 | 6.8 |
|
| United Kingdom | 6 | 6.0 | — | — |
|
| Ireland | 1 | 17.2 | — | — |
|
| Spain | 6 | 5.7 | 8 | 3.0 |
|
| Italy | 4 | 7.2 | 10 | 3.1 |
|
| Japan | 14 | 0.5 | 10 | 4.1 |
|
| Hong Kong | 2 | 9.2 | 9 | 5.0 |
|
| XL Insurance (US) | 16 | 1.5 | — | — |
|
| Thailand | 13 | 2.2 | 5 | 7.2 |
|
| Indonesia | — | — | 5 | 7.0 |
|
| Philippines | 8 | 3.0 | 6 | 20.0 (TPI) / 27.3 (NBAPE) |
|
| China | — | 0.3 | — | — |
|
| Mexico | 4 | 7.9 | 11 | 1.6 |
|
| Brazil | 11 | 2.7 | — | — |
|
| Colombia | 3 | 9.4 | 12 | 1.0 |
|
| Türkiye | 4 | 8.3 | — | — |
|
Activity and earnings indicators
GWP and other revenues
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (comparable) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWP & other revenues | €m | 115,524 | 110,316 | +6.5% |
|
| Property & Casualty | €m | 58,038 | 56,514 | +5.2% |
|
| Life & Health | €m | 56,512 | 51,983 | +8.0% |
|
| o/w Life | €m | 37,499 | 34,497 | +9.5% | — |
| o/w Health | €m | 19,014 | 17,486 | +5.2% | — |
| Asset Management | €m | 875 | 1,701 | n.a. |
|
| Banking | €m | 99 | 118 | -16.2% |
|
| Net flows | €m | 5,397 | 1,483 | n.a. |
|
| Geography | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (comparable) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWP & other revenues | €m | 115,524 | 110,316 | +6.5% |
|
| France | €m | 30,598 | 28,996 | +5.9% | — |
| Europe | €m | 43,005 | 39,298 | +5.6% | — |
| AXA XL | €m | 19,277 | 19,383 | +3.8% | — |
| Asia, Africa & EME-LATAM | €m | 19,925 | 19,083 | +12.8% | — |
| AXA IM | €m | 875 | 1,701 | n.m. |
|
| Transversal & Other | €m | 1,844 | 1,856 | -1.3% | — |
New business performance
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (comparable) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVEP | €m | 49,357 | 50,896 | -2.4% |
|
| NB CSM | €m | 2,199 | 2,169 | +2.7% |
|
| NBV | €m | 2,233 | 2,264 | -0.2% |
|
| NBV margin | % | 4.5% | 4.4% | +0.1 pt |
|
Underlying earnings by business segment
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (reported) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term revenues | €m | 75,071 | 72,104 | +4% |
|
| Short-term technical margin | €m | 5,888 | 5,421 | +9% |
|
| P&C combined ratio | % | 90.6% | 91.0% | -0.3 pt |
|
| L&H short-term combined ratio | % | 97.2% | 97.4% | -0.2 pt |
|
| CSM release | €m | 2,954 | 2,775 | +6% |
|
| Technical experience | €m | (150) | (95) | -58% | — |
| Financial results | €m | 4,013 | 3,971 | +1% |
|
| UE before tax | €m | 11,044 | 10,700 | +3% |
|
| Income tax | €m | (2,644) | (2,662) | -1% | — |
| Underlying earnings Group share | €m | 8,368 | 8,078 | +4% |
|
| o/w P&C | €m | 5,872 | 5,510 | +7% |
|
| o/w L&H | €m | 3,501 | 3,323 | +5% |
|
| o/w Asset Management | €m | 175 | 402 | -56% |
|
| o/w Holdings | €m | (1,180) | (1,157) | -2% |
|
| CSM stock | €m | 33,253 | 33,853 | -2% |
|
Underlying earnings by geography
| Geography | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (reported) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underlying earnings Group share | €m | 8,368 | 8,078 | +4% |
|
| France | €m | 2,224 | 2,071 | +7% | — |
| Europe | €m | 3,486 | 3,187 | +9% | — |
| AXA XL | €m | 1,893 | 1,820 | +4% | — |
| Asia, Africa & EME-LATAM | €m | 1,493 | 1,504 | -1% | — |
| AXA IM | €m | 175 | 402 | -56% |
|
| Transversal & Other | €m | (903) | (907) | n.m. | — |
P&C combined ratio by geography
| Geography | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total P&C | % | 90.6% | 91.0% | -0.3 pt |
|
| France | % | 87.5% | 86.8% | +0.7 pt | — |
| Europe | % | 90.0% | 91.0% | -1.0 pt | — |
| AXA XL | % | 89.7% | 90.2% | -0.5 pt | — |
| o/w AXA XL Insurance | % | 91.0% | 91.7% | -0.7 pt | — |
| Asia, Africa & EME-LATAM | % | 99.2% | 99.1% | +0.1 pt | — |
| Transversal & Other | % | 95.5% | 96.2% | -0.7 pt | — |
P&C combined ratio by line of business
| Line of business | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total P&C | % | 90.6% | 91.0% | -0.3 pt | — |
| Commercial lines | % | 90.7% | 91.1% | -0.4 pt |
|
| Personal lines | % | 92.8% | 93.9% | -1.1 pt |
|
| AXA XL Reinsurance | % | 81.4% | 79.7% | +1.7 pt |
|
Life & Health underlying earnings
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (reported) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term revenues | €m | 17,416 | 16,207 | +7% |
|
| Short-term combined ratio | % | 97.2% | 97.4% | -0.2 pt |
|
| Short-term technical margin | €m | 479 | 415 | +15% |
|
| CSM release | €m | 2,954 | 2,775 | +6% |
|
| Technical experience | €m | (150) | (95) | -58% |
|
| Financial result | €m | 946 | 975 | -3% |
|
| UE before tax | €m | 4,229 | 4,070 | +4% |
|
| Income tax | €m | (800) | (874) | +8% |
|
| UE Group share | €m | 3,501 | 3,323 | +5% |
|
| CSM stock | €m | 32,991 | 33,571 | -2% |
|
Net income
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change (reported) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underlying earnings Group share | €m | 8,368 | 8,078 | +4% |
|
| Net realized capital gains & losses | €m | 138 | 195 | -29% |
|
| Fair value of funds & derivatives | €m | (813) | 83 | n.m. |
|
| Amortization of intangibles | €m | (86) | (131) | +34% |
|
| Integration & restructuring costs | €m | (197) | (240) | +18% |
|
| Exceptional items | €m | 2,386 | (99) | n.m. |
|
| Net income Group share | €m | 9,797 | 7,886 | +24% |
|
| Item | Unit | Amount | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening (Dec 31, 2024) | €m | 49,943 | — |
| Net income for the period | €m | +9,797 | — |
| Dividends | €m | (4,629) | — |
| Paid-in capital | €m | (4,863) |
|
| Impact of currency fluctuations | €m | (3,549) |
|
| Fair value recorded in shareholders' equity | €m | +1,282 | — |
| OCI related to invested assets | €m | (4,161) | — |
| OCI related to (re)insurance contracts | €m | +5,443 | — |
| OCI defined benefit plans | €m | (350) | — |
| Treasury shares | €m | (97) | — |
| Realized gains on equity through retained earnings | €m | +111 | — |
| Undated subordinated debt (incl. interest) | €m | (300) | — |
| Other | €m | (174) | — |
| Closing (Dec 31, 2025) | €m | 47,171 |
|
Solvency information
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eligible Own Funds | €bn | 56.4 | 55.9 | +0.5 | — |
| Solvency II ratio | % | 224% | 216% | +8 pts |
|
| Metric | Unit | FY2025 | FY2024 | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted avg. shares (fully diluted) | m shares | 2,124 | 2,197 | -3% |
|
| Underlying EPS (fully diluted) | €/share | 3.86 | 3.59 | +8% |
|
| Net income EPS (fully diluted) | €/share | 4.53 | 3.50 | +30% |
|
| Underlying ROE | % | 16.0% | 15.2% | +0.8 pts |
|
| Net income ROE | % | 18.8% | 14.8% | +3.9 pts |
|
| Avg. adj. shareholders' equity | €bn | 51.3 | 51.8 | -1% |
|
| Debt gearing | — | — | — | — |
|
Outlook
- Final year of 2024-2026 "Unlock the Future" plan. Management confident in achieving main financial targets, underpinned by profitable organic growth, scaling technical capabilities, and driving operational efficiency through reinforced cost management.
- P&C: Pricing remains favorable in Retail and SME/Mid-market; expect continued earn-through of higher pricing and underwriting actions. AXA XL: disciplined cycle management and capital allocation, growing where returns exceed cost of capital. Normalized nat cat load guidance: ca. 4.5 points of combined ratio for 2026.
- Life & Health: Earnings growth expected from short-term business (disciplined pricing and claims management). Long-term business strategy focused on rejuvenating sales, improving persistency, and driving positive net flows to grow CSM over time.
- Holdings: 2026 results expected at a similar level to 2025.
- Financial targets:
- Underlying EPS growth at the upper end of 6-8% CAGR range for both the 2023-2026E plan period and for 2026.
- Underlying ROE between 14-16% over 2024-2026E.
- Cumulative organic cash upstream in excess of €21bn for 2024-2026.
- Capital management policy: 75% total payout ratio (60% dividend payout + 15% annual share buy-backs). Proposed DPS in a given year expected to be at least equal to prior year's DPS.