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== AXA — FY25 Full-Year Results Summary == |
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=== Enriched Key Financial Metrics === |
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{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
{| class="wikitable" style="width:100%; text-align:right" |
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|+ AXA FY25 key financial metrics |
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|+ 📊 AXA — Key Financial Metrics (EUR mm), FY24–FY25 — Enriched |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left" | Metric |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left; width:18em" | Metric |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width: |
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Unit |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width: |
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | FY24 |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width: |
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | FY25 |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; width: |
! style="background:#eaecf0; width:6em" | Change |
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! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left" | Comments |
! style="background:#eaecf0; text-align:left" | Comments |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | '''GWP & other revenues''' |
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| €m |
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| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''110,316''' |
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| '''110,316''' |
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| '''115,524''' |
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| style="background:#f8f9fa" | '''+5%''' |
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| '''+6%''' |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | |
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* +5% on reported basis |
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* ↑ P&C Commercial lines (+4%): higher volumes (notably AXA XL Insurance) and favorable pricing across all geographies |
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* ↑ P&C Personal lines (+7%): favorable pricing + strong net new contracts in France, Europe, Asia & EME-LATAM |
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* ↑ AXA XL Reinsurance (+8%): growth supported by alternative capital |
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* ↑ Life (+9%): Protection +11% (Hong Kong, Switzerland, Japan), Unit-Linked +13% (all geographies), G/A +4% (Italy, France) |
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* ↑ Health (+5%): price effects in all geographies |
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| style="text-align:left" | o/w Property & Casualty |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Property & Casualty |
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| €m |
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| 56,514 |
| 56,514 |
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| 58,038 |
| 58,038 |
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| +3% |
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| +5% |
| +5% |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="text-align:left" | ↑ Commercial lines (+4%): higher volumes at AXA XL Insurance + favorable pricing across all geographies. Personal lines (+7%): price effects + strong net new contracts in France, Europe, Asia & EME-LATAM. AXA XL Reinsurance (+8%): growth supported by alternative capital. |
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* +3% on reported basis |
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| style="text-align:left" | o/w Life & Health |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Life & Health |
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| €m |
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| 51,983 |
| 51,983 |
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| 56,512 |
| 56,512 |
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| +9% |
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| +8% |
| +8% |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="text-align:left" | ↑ Life premiums +9%: Protection +11% (strong sales in HK, CH, JP), Unit-Linked +13% (all geographies), G/A +4% (Italy, France momentum). Health premiums +5%: price effects in all geographies. |
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* +9% on reported basis |
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| style="text-align:left" | o/w Asset Management |
| style="text-align:left" | o/w Asset Management |
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| €m |
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| 1,701 |
| 1,701 |
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| 875 |
| 875 |
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| n.m. |
| n.m. |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| n.m. |
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* ↓ Disposal of AXA IM completed July 1, 2025; only H1 contribution included |
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| style="text-align:left" | '''Underlying earnings''' |
| style="text-align:left" | '''Underlying earnings''' |
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| €m |
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| '''8,078''' |
| '''8,078''' |
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| '''8,368''' |
| '''8,368''' |
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| '''+4%''' |
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| '''+6%''' |
| '''+6%''' |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="text-align:left" | ↑ +9% excl. AXA IM. P&C earnings +9% (volume growth, margin expansion, higher investment income). L&H +7% (improved short-term technical results in Health & Protection; early benefits of Life rejuvenation strategy). Holdings stable at ca. Euro −1.2 bn. Asset Mgmt. earnings ↓ Euro 0.2 bn due to AXA IM disposal (one-off). |
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* +4% on reported basis; +9% excluding AXA IM |
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* ↑ P&C (+9%): higher volumes, underwriting margin expansion, higher investment income |
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* ↑ Life & Health (+7%): improved short-term technical results in Health & Protection; higher long-term earnings from strategy to rejuvenate the business; Health +17% after absorbing adverse Mexico VAT change |
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* ↔ Holdings broadly stable at €-1.2bn |
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* ↓ Asset Management: €0.2bn decrease from AXA IM disposal |
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|- |
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| style="text-align:left" | '''Underlying earnings per share''' |
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| €/share |
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| 3.57 |
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| 3.86 |
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| +8% |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* ↑ Underlying earnings growth (+6%) + lower interest expense on subordinated debt |
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* ↑ Share buyback accretion (+3 pts): annual program + AXA IM anti-dilutive buyback |
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* ↓ FX headwind (-2 pts): mainly USD depreciation vs EUR |
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* ↓ Temporary dilution (-1 pt) from timing of AXA IM-related buyback |
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| style="text-align:left" | '''Net income''' |
| style="text-align:left" | '''Net income''' |
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| €m |
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| '''7,886''' |
| '''7,886''' |
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| '''9,797''' |
| '''9,797''' |
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| '''+24%''' |
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| '''+26%''' |
| '''+26%''' |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="text-align:left" | ↑ Higher underlying earnings + significantly positive exceptional items, notably the one-off gain from sale of AXA IM. |
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* +24% on reported basis |
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* ↑ Higher underlying earnings + significantly positive exceptional items, notably one-off gain from AXA IM disposal |
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| style="text-align:left" | '''Solvency II ratio |
| style="text-align:left" | '''Solvency II ratio''' |
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| |
| % |
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| ''' |
| '''216''' |
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| '''224''' |
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| '''+9 pts''' |
| '''+9 pts''' |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| — |
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* ↑ Operating return (+28 pts) net of dividend & annual buyback provision (-24 pts) |
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* ↑ Net subordinated debt issuance (+6 pts) |
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* ↑ Favorable financial markets (+4 pts) |
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* ↓ Net impact of Nobis/Prima acquisitions + AXA IM disposal incl. €3.8bn buyback (-5 pts) |
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* Post-period: ratio falls to 215% on Jan 1, 2026, after grandfathered debt de-recognition (-10 pts) |
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| style="text-align:left" | Shareholders' equity |
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! colspan="6" style="background:#dfe3e8; text-align:left; font-style:italic" | [From narrative — additional metrics not in original table] |
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| €bn |
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| 50.0 |
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| 47.2 |
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| -€2.8bn |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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* ↑ Net income (+€9.8bn) + net OCI (+€1.3bn) |
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* ↓ FY24 dividend paid (-€4.6bn) |
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* ↓ Share buybacks executed in 2025 (-€4.7bn), incl. €3.5bn AXA IM anti-dilutive buyback |
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* ↓ Unfavorable FX (-€3.5bn), mainly USD depreciation |
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|- |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | CSM |
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| €bn |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 3.57* |
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| 33.9 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 3.86 |
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| 33.3 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | +8% |
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| -€0.6bn |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc; text-align:left" | ↑ Underlying earnings growth (+6%) + lower interest expense on sub-debt + share buyback accretion (+3%). Offset by FX headwind (−2%, mainly USD depreciation) and temporary AXA IM timing dilution (−1%). |
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* ↑ New business contribution (+€2.2bn) + underlying return on in-force (+€1.3bn) |
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* ↓ CSM release (-€3.0bn); normalized growth +2% |
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* ↑ Market conditions (+€0.6bn): tighter government spreads, positive equity markets |
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* ↓ FX (-€1.5bn): JPY and HKD depreciation |
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* ↓ Operating variance (-€0.3bn): better margins and net flows offset by shorter Group Life duration in Switzerland |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | Underlying return on equity |
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| % |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 15.2%* |
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| 15.2 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 16.0% |
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| 16.0 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | +0.8 pt |
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| +0.8 pts |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc; text-align:left" | ↑ Higher underlying earnings + lower shareholders' equity base. Within 14–16% plan target range. |
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* ↑ Higher underlying earnings + lower shareholders' equity base |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | Debt gearing |
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| % |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 50,000* |
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| 20.6 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 47,200 |
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| 22.3 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | −Euro 2.8 bn |
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| +1.7 pts |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc; text-align:left" | ↓ Net income +9.8 bn and OCI +1.3 bn more than offset by FY24 dividend −4.6 bn, share buybacks −4.7 bn (incl. Euro 3.5 bn AXA IM anti-dilutive buyback), FX impact −3.5 bn (USD depreciation). |
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* ↑ Lower shareholders' equity and CSM |
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* ↑ RT1 and Tier 2 subordinated debt issuance (€3.5bn), partly offset by redemption of grandfathered Tier 1 debt (-€1.9bn) |
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* Within plan guidance of 19-23% |
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|- |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | Cash at Holding |
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| €bn |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 33,900* |
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| 4.0 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 33,300 |
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| 5.6 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | −Euro 0.6 bn |
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| +€1.6bn |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc; text-align:left" | Normalized growth +2%. New business +2.2 bn + return on in-force +1.3 bn offset CSM release −3.0 bn. Favorable markets +0.6 bn (spread tightening, equities). Offset by FX −1.5 bn (JPY, HKD depreciation) and operating variance −0.3 bn (shorter Group Life duration in CH). |
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* ↑ Organic cash remittance from subsidiaries of €7.5bn (up €0.4bn vs FY24) |
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|- |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | Dividend per share |
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| €/share |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 20.6%* |
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| 2.15 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 22.3% |
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| 2.32 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | +1.7 pts |
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| +8% |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style="text-align:left" | |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc; text-align:left" | ↑ Lower equity and CSM base + RT1/T2 sub-debt issuance Euro 3.5 bn, partly offset by grandfathered T1 redemption Euro −1.9 bn. In line with 19–23% plan guidance. |
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* Subject to approval at AGM on April 30, 2026 |
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|- |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | Annual share buyback program |
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| €bn |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 4,000* |
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| — |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | 5,600 |
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| 1.25 |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | +Euro 1.6 bn |
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| — |
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| style="background:#f5f5dc" | — |
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| style=" |
| style="text-align:left" | |
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* Approved Feb 25, 2026; expected completion by year-end |
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* All repurchased shares to be cancelled |
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|} |
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'''Shareholder returns''' |
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''* FY24 figures for narrative-sourced rows are implied from reported deltas; exact prior-year values not disclosed for all metrics.'' |
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* Dividend ex-date May 11, 2026; payment date May 13, 2026. |
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* AXA IM-related anti-dilutive buyback of €3.8bn completed between July 2, 2025, and January 20, 2026. |
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---- |
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* Capital management policy targets 75% total payout (60% dividend + 15% annual buyback); dividend per share in any year expected to be at least equal to the prior year. |
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=== Structured Bullet Points — Remaining Information === |
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==== Capital & Solvency ==== |
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* '''Solvency II ratio bridge (FY24 → FY25):''' Operating return +28 pts; dividend & annual buyback provision −24 pts; net sub-debt issuance +6 pts; financial market impacts +4 pts; acquisitions (Nobis, Prima) & AXA IM disposal incl. Euro 3.8 bn buyback −5 pts. Net movement: +9 pts to 224%. |
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* '''Grandfathering impact:''' As of Jan 1, 2026, grandfathered capital instruments/sub-debt no longer qualify as eligible own funds → −10 pts, bringing ratio to 215%. |
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* '''Solvency II revision (Q1 2027):''' Group estimates +17 pts uplift to the current ratio once the revised framework takes effect. |
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==== Shareholder Returns ==== |
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* '''Dividend:''' Euro 2.32/share proposed (+8% vs. FY24). AGM vote on April 30, 2026; ex-date May 11, 2026; payment May 13, 2026. |
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* '''Annual share buyback:''' Up to Euro 1.25 bn approved by the Board on Feb 25, 2026. All repurchased shares to be cancelled. Expected to commence as soon as practicable and complete by year-end 2026. |
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* '''AXA IM-related buyback:''' Euro 3.8 bn anti-dilutive buyback completed (Jul 2, 2025 – Jan 20, 2026). |
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* '''Capital management policy:''' Total payout ratio target of 75% (60% dividend payout + 15% annual buybacks). DPS floor: at least equal to prior year. |
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==== Forward-looking Items ==== |
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* '''2026 EPS guidance:''' Underlying EPS growth expected at the upper end of the 6–8% CAGR target range for both the plan period (2023–2026E) and for 2026 specifically. |
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* '''Plan targets ("Unlock the Future" 2024–2026):''' (i) EPS CAGR 6–8% (upper end expected), (ii) underlying RoE 14–16%, (iii) cumulative organic cash upstream >Euro 21 bn. |
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* '''P&C outlook:''' Favorable pricing in Retail and SME/Mid-market with continued earn-through benefits. AXA XL: pricing varies by line; disciplined cycle management and capital allocation. Nat-cat load guidance: ca. 4.5 pts of combined ratio for 2026. |
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* '''L&H outlook:''' Short-term earnings growth from disciplined pricing and claims management. Long-term business rejuvenation and improved persistency expected to drive positive net flows and CSM growth. |
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* '''Holdings:''' 2026 results expected at a similar level to 2025. |
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* '''New strategic plan:''' AXA to present its 2027–2029 plan on September 21, 2026. |
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'''Forward-looking items''' |
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==== Notable Events ==== |
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* FY26 underlying EPS growth expected at the upper end of the 6-8% plan target range. |
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* Solvency II revision (effective Q1 2027) estimated to add +17 pts to the current ratio. |
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* 2024-2026 plan targets: (i) underlying EPS CAGR at upper end of 6-8%, (ii) underlying RoE between 14% and 16%, (iii) cumulative organic cash upstream in excess of €21bn. |
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* Normalized natural catastrophe load guidance remains at ca. 4.5 pts of combined ratio for 2026. |
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* P&C pricing remains favorable; AXA XL to maintain disciplined cycle management. Life & Health earnings growth driven by disciplined pricing, claims management, and rejuvenation of long-term business driving CSM growth over time. Holdings expected to remain at a similar level to 2025. |
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* New strategic plan for 2027-2029 to be presented on September 21, 2026. |
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* Investments in automation and AI cited as driving efficiency gains. |
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'''Notable events''' |
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* '''Disposal of AXA IM:''' Completed July 1, 2025. Generated a significant one-off gain recognized in net income. Led to temporary EPS dilution of −1% due to timing lag between disposal and completion of anti-dilutive buyback. |
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* AXA IM disposal completed July 1, 2025, generating a significant one-off gain booked in net income. The sale triggered a €3.8bn anti-dilutive share buyback and a temporary -1pt dilution to underlying EPS due to buyback timing. |
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* '''Acquisitions:''' Nobis and Prima acquired during the period; net impact on Solvency II ratio was −5 pts (combined with AXA IM disposal effects). |
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* Acquisitions of Nobis and Prima completed during FY25 (-5 pts Solvency II impact combined with AXA IM disposal effects). |
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* '''AI & automation:''' Management highlighted that investments in automation and AI are delivering efficiency gains, contributing to lower expense ratios. |
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* Adverse VAT treatment change in Mexico absorbed within Health earnings growth of +17%. |
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Revision as of 12:54, 21 March 2026
| Metric | Unit | FY24 | FY25 | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWP & other revenues | €m | 110,316 | 115,524 | +6% |
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| o/w Property & Casualty | €m | 56,514 | 58,038 | +5% |
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| o/w Life & Health | €m | 51,983 | 56,512 | +8% |
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| o/w Asset Management | €m | 1,701 | 875 | n.m. |
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| Underlying earnings | €m | 8,078 | 8,368 | +6% |
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| Underlying earnings per share | €/share | 3.57 | 3.86 | +8% |
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| Net income | €m | 7,886 | 9,797 | +26% |
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| Solvency II ratio | % | 216 | 224 | +9 pts |
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| Shareholders' equity | €bn | 50.0 | 47.2 | -€2.8bn |
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| CSM | €bn | 33.9 | 33.3 | -€0.6bn |
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| Underlying return on equity | % | 15.2 | 16.0 | +0.8 pts |
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| Debt gearing | % | 20.6 | 22.3 | +1.7 pts |
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| Cash at Holding | €bn | 4.0 | 5.6 | +€1.6bn |
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| Dividend per share | €/share | 2.15 | 2.32 | +8% |
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| Annual share buyback program | €bn | — | 1.25 | — |
|
Shareholder returns
- Dividend ex-date May 11, 2026; payment date May 13, 2026.
- AXA IM-related anti-dilutive buyback of €3.8bn completed between July 2, 2025, and January 20, 2026.
- Capital management policy targets 75% total payout (60% dividend + 15% annual buyback); dividend per share in any year expected to be at least equal to the prior year.
Forward-looking items
- FY26 underlying EPS growth expected at the upper end of the 6-8% plan target range.
- Solvency II revision (effective Q1 2027) estimated to add +17 pts to the current ratio.
- 2024-2026 plan targets: (i) underlying EPS CAGR at upper end of 6-8%, (ii) underlying RoE between 14% and 16%, (iii) cumulative organic cash upstream in excess of €21bn.
- Normalized natural catastrophe load guidance remains at ca. 4.5 pts of combined ratio for 2026.
- P&C pricing remains favorable; AXA XL to maintain disciplined cycle management. Life & Health earnings growth driven by disciplined pricing, claims management, and rejuvenation of long-term business driving CSM growth over time. Holdings expected to remain at a similar level to 2025.
- New strategic plan for 2027-2029 to be presented on September 21, 2026.
- Investments in automation and AI cited as driving efficiency gains.
Notable events
- AXA IM disposal completed July 1, 2025, generating a significant one-off gain booked in net income. The sale triggered a €3.8bn anti-dilutive share buyback and a temporary -1pt dilution to underlying EPS due to buyback timing.
- Acquisitions of Nobis and Prima completed during FY25 (-5 pts Solvency II impact combined with AXA IM disposal effects).
- Adverse VAT treatment change in Mexico absorbed within Health earnings growth of +17%.