AXA/2025/FY/Earnings release: Difference between revisions

Content deleted Content added
doc_archive: refresh summary chq99br5nr
doc_archive: refresh summary chq99br5nr (.md link)
 
(4 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 10:
| pages = 20
| source_url = https://www-axa-com.cdn.prismic.io/www-axa-com/aZ_Ib8FoBIGEg123_AXA_PR_20260226.pdf
| summary_md = <!File:AXA-2025- ARCHIVE_MD_LINK_HERE FY-->Earnings_release.md
| stored_file = File:AXA-2025-FY-Earnings release.pdf
| intro_sentence = This article summarizes AXA's Earnings release published on 2026-02-26 (20 pages).
| wide = yes
Line 52 ⟶ 53:
 
{{chunk|doc=chq99br5nr|c=5|p=1}}
'''Shareholder Returnsreturns'''
 
* [[Definition:Dividend|Dividend]] of EUR 2.32 per share, up +8% vs. [[Definition:Full year 2024|FY24]]{{fn ref|7|2=Subject to approval by the Shareholders' Annual General Meeting to be held on April 30, 2026.}}
* Launch of an annual [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] program{{fn ref|8|2=As approved by AXA's Board of Directors on February 25, 2026, and expected to commence as soon as reasonably practicable, subject to market conditions.}} of up to EUR 1.25 billion25bn
* Completion of EUR 3.8 billion8bn additional [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] related to [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]] disposal{{fn ref|4|2=On July 1, 2025, AXA executed a share repurchase agreement with an investment services provider, whereby AXA carried out a program to buyback its own shares for a maximum amount of Euro 3.8 billion to offset the earnings dilution from the sale of AXA Investment Managers to BNP Paribas, as announced on August 1, 2024. The share buyback commenced on July 2, 2025, and ended on January 20, 2026, resulting in a temporary earnings dilution as of December 31, 2025.}}, executed between July 2, 2025, and January 20, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]]
 
== Outlook ==
Line 70 ⟶ 71:
'''2025 performance and segment results'''
 
* In 2025, [[Definition:AXA|AXA]] delivered strong performance with +9% earnings growth in its core businesses excluding [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]].
* [[Definition:AXA|AXA]]The company used these results to enhance reserve prudence.
* The [[Definition:Property & casualty|P&C]] franchise posted stellarstrong results, combining a healthy balance between price and volume with best-in-class margins, a lower expense ratio, and higher investment income.
* [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]] Insurance increased earnings with stable underlying margins.
* [[Definition:Life & health|Life & Health]] earnings rose by 7%.
Line 79 ⟶ 80:
* Investments in automation and Artificial Intelligence are driving efficiency gains.
* The Solvency II ratio is at a very strong level.
* These results demonstrate the earnings power of [[Definition:AXA|AXA]]'s well-diversified franchise and reinforce confidence in generatingits ability to generate sustainable, long-term value.
* Thomas Buberl, Chief Executive Officer of [[Definition:AXA|AXA]], thanked colleagues, agents, partners, and customers for their commitment and trust.
 
Line 124 ⟶ 125:
<div style="overflow-x:auto">
{| id="t2" class="wikitable fintable"
|+ 2 <nowiki>|</nowiki> Key figures: [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlyingUnderlying earnings]] and net income, [[Definition:Full year 2024|FY24]] vs [[Definition:Full year 2025|FY25]].
|-
! style="text-align:left" |
Line 148 ⟶ 149:
<div style="overflow-x:auto">
{| id="t3" class="wikitable fintable"
|+ 3 <nowiki>|</nowiki> Solvency II ratio (%)., [[Definition:Full year 2024|FY24]] vs [[Definition:Full year 2025|FY25]].
|-
! style="text-align:left" |
Line 170 ⟶ 171:
 
* Total [[Definition:Gross written premiums|gross written premiums]] and [[Definition:Other revenue|other revenues]]{{fn ref|1|2=Change in gross written premiums & other revenues, new business value ('NBV') and present value of expected premiums ('PVEP') is on a comparable basis (constant forex, scope and methodology), unless otherwise indicated. These and other terms, including but not limited to contractual service margin ('CSM') and new business contractual service margin ('NB CSM'), are defined in the glossary section of this press release.}} were up 6%.
* [[Definition:Property & casualty|Property & Casualty]] ([[Definition:Property & casualty|P&C]]) premiums increased by +5%.
** Commercial lines{{fn ref|11|2='Commercial lines' refers to P&C Commercial lines excluding AXA XL Reinsurance.}} grew[[Definition:Property & casualty|P&C]] premiums increased by +4%, duedriven toby higher volumes (notably at [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]] Insurance) and favorable price effects{{fn ref|12|2=Price effects are calculated as a percentage of total gross written premiums of the prior year.}} across all geographies.
** Personal lines grew[[Definition:Property & casualty|P&C]] premiums increased by +7%, duedriven toby favorable price effects and strong growth in net new contracts in France, Europe, Asia & EME-LATAM.
** [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]] Reinsurance grewpremiums increased by +8%, supported by alternative capital.
* [[Definition:Life & health|Life & Health]] premiums increased by +8%.
** Life premiums were up 9%.
*** Protection grewpremiums increased by +11% fromdue to strong sales in Hong Kong, Switzerland, and Japan.
*** Unit-Linked grewpremiums increased by +13% fromdue to higher volumes across all geographies.
*** G/A{{fn ref|13|2=General account.}} grewpremiums increased by +4% fromdue to continued momentum in Italy and France.
** Health premiums were up 5%, driven by price effects in all geographies.
 
Line 185 ⟶ 186:
 
* [[Definition:Underlying earnings|Underlying earnings]]{{fn ref|2|2='Underlying earnings', 'underlying earnings per share', 'underlying return on equity', 'combined ratio' and 'debt gearing' are APMs as defined in ESMA's guidelines and the AMF's related position statement issued in 2015. AXA provides a reconciliation of such APMs to the most closely related line item, subtotal, or total in the financial statements of the corresponding period (and/or their calculation methodology, as applicable) in its Activity Report as of December 31, 2025 ('AXA's 2025 Activity Report'), on the pages indicated under the heading 'USE OF NON -GAAP AND ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES'. For further information on the above-mentioned and other non-GAAP financial measures used in this press relea se, see the Glossary in AXA's 2025 Activity Report. AXA's 2025 Activity Report is available on AXA's website (www.axa.com).}} increased by 6% to EUR 8.4 billion.
* [[Definition:Underlying earnings|Underlying earnings]] increased by +9% excluding [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]]{{fn ref|3|2=AXA completed the disposal of AXA IM to BNP Paribas on July 1, 2025. All figures excluding AXA IM are given at constant foreign exchange rates.}}.
** [[Definition:PropertyThe &increase casualty|Property & Casualty]]in [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] increasedwas +9%driven due to higher volumes, underwriting margin expansion, and increased financial results from higher investment income.by:
** [[Definition:Property & casualty|Property & Casualty]]: +9%, from higher volumes, underwriting margin expansion, and increased financial result due to higher investment income.
** [[Definition:Life & health|Life & Health]] [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] increased +7%, due tofrom improved short-term technical results in Health & Protection and higher earnings in long-term business, including early benefits from the businessstrategy rejuvenationto strategyrejuvenate the business.
** Holdings{{fn ref|14|2=Including banking activities.}} [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] remained broadly stable at EUR -1.2 billion.
** AssetHoldings{{fn Managementref|14|2=Including banking activities.}} [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] decreasedremained bybroadly stable at EUR 0-1.2 billion due to the disposal of [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]] on July 1, 2025.
* Asset Management [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] decreased by EUR 0.2 billion due to the disposal of [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]] on July 1, 2025.
* [[Definition:Underlying earnings per share|Underlying earnings per share]]{{fn ref|2|2='Underlying earnings', 'underlying earnings per share', 'underlying return on equity', 'combined ratio' and 'debt gearing' are APMs as defined in ESMA's guidelines and the AMF's related position statement issued in 2015. AXA provides a reconciliation of such APMs to the most closely related line item, subtotal, or total in the financial statements of the corresponding period (and/or their calculation methodology, as applicable) in its Activity Report as of December 31, 2025 ('AXA's 2025 Activity Report'), on the pages indicated under the heading 'USE OF NON -GAAP AND ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE MEASURES'. For further information on the above-mentioned and other non-GAAP financial measures used in this press relea se, see the Glossary in AXA's 2025 Activity Report. AXA's 2025 Activity Report is available on AXA's website (www.axa.com).}} increased by 8% to EUR 3.86.
* This increase was mainly driven by:
** This increase was mainly driven by the +6%The increase in [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] (+6%) and a decrease in interest expense on undated and deeply-subordinated debt.
** The impact of [[Definition:Share buyback|Shareshare buybacks]] contributed (+3%), including the annual [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] program and the anti-dilutive [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] associated with the sale of [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]].
** This was partially offset by the unfavorable impact of [[Definition:Foreign exchange|foreign exchange]] rate movements, notably the depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Euro, which caused a (-2% reduction).
* The sale of [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]] resulted in a temporary dilution of [[Definition:Underlying earnings per share|underlying earnings per share]] by -1% due to the timing of the associated [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]].
 
Line 200 ⟶ 203:
 
* Net income increased by 26% to EUR 9.8 billion.
* This increase primarilymainly reflects the riseincrease in [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]] and significantly positive exceptional items, includingnotably the gain from the sale of [[Definition:AXA Investment Managers|AXA IM]].
 
=== Balance sheet ===
Line 240 ⟶ 243:
'''Shareholder distributions'''
 
* A [[Definition:Dividend|dividend]] of EUR 2.32 per share (+8% vs. [[Definition:Full year 2024|FY24]]) will be proposed at the Shareholders' Annual General Meeting on April 30, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]]{{fn ref|7|2=Subject to approval by the Shareholders' Annual General Meeting to be held on April 30, 2026.}}.
* The [[Definition:Dividend|dividend]] is expected to be paid on May 13, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]], with an ex-dividend date on May 11, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].
* [[Definition:AXA|AXA]]'s Board of Directors approved on February 25, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]], the launch of an annual [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] program for up to EUR 1.25bn.
* The [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] program will be executed in accordance with the terms of the applicable Shareholders' Annual General Meeting authorization.
* [[Definition:AXA|AXA]] intends to cancel all shares repurchased under this program.
* The [[Definition:Share buyback|share buyback]] program is expected to commence as soon as reasonably practicable, subject to market conditions, and be completed by year-end.
Line 261 ⟶ 264:
* [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]]: pricing conditions vary by line; the Group will continue effective cycle management and disciplined capital allocation, growing where returns exceed the cost of capital.
* The Group guidance for normalized natural catastrophe{{fn ref|18|2=Natural catastrophe charges include natural catastrophe losses regardless of event size.}} load remains at ca. 4.5 points of combined ratio for [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].
* [[Definition:Life & health|Life & Health]]: earnings growth is expected from the short-term business due to disciplined pricing and claims management initiatives.
* The strategy to rejuvenate sales in the long-term business and improved persistency should generate positive net flows, driving CSM growth over time.
* Holdings: results in [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]] are expected to remain similar to 2025 levels.
 
{{chunk|doc=chq99br5nr|c=18|p=4}}
Line 269 ⟶ 272:
 
* Management believes [[Definition:AXA|AXA]] is on track to deliver the main financial targets of the 'Unlock the Future' plan, assuming current operating conditions persist and following strong overall operating performance in 2025.
* [[Definition:Underlying earnings per share|Underlying earnings per share]] growth: expected at the upper end of the 6-8% CAGR [[Definition:Target range|target range]] for both the 2023-2026E plan period and for [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]]{{fn ref|9|2=Expected underlying earnings per share ('UEPS') growth for 2026 is a forward -looking statement to provide one-off guidance in the context of the last year of the Group's current strategic plan and is qualified by the cautionary statements in this press rel ease regarding forward-looking statements.}}.
* Underlying return on equity: expected between 14% and 16% between 2024 and 2026E.
* Cumulative organic cash upstream: expected in excess of Euro 21 billion for 2024-2026E.
* The Group is committed to its [[Definition:Capital management|capital management]] policy{{fn ref|19|2=Subject to annual Board and Shareholders' Annual General Meeting approvals and absent (1) for share buybacks, any significant earnings event (i.e., significant deviation in the Group's underlying earnings) and (2) for dividends, the occurrence of a signifi cant capital event (i.e., event that significantly deteriorates Group solvency). Board discretion includes taking into account AXA's earnings, financial condition, applicable c apital and solvency requirements, prevailing operating and financial market conditions and the general economic environment.}}, targeting a total [[Definition:Payout ratio|payout ratio]] of 75%{{fn ref|20|2=Payout ratio is calculated based on underlying earnings per share.}}.
* TheThis total [[Definition:Payout ratio|payout ratio]] comprises a 60% [[Definition:Dividend|dividend]] [[Definition:Payout ratio|payout ratio]] and an additional 15% from annual [[Definition:Share buyback|share buybacks]].
* The proposed [[Definition:Dividend|dividend]] per share in a given year is expected to be at least equal to the [[Definition:Dividend|dividend]] per share paid in the prior year.
 
Line 282 ⟶ 285:
<div style="overflow-x:auto">
{| id="t4" class="wikitable fintable"
|+ 4 <nowiki>|</nowiki> [[Definition:Property & casualty|Property &amp; Casualty]]: [[Definition:Gross written premiums|gross written premiums]] and [[Definition:Other revenue|other revenues]] by [[Definition:Business mix|business line]], [[Definition:Full year 2024|FY24]] vs [[Definition:Full year 2025|FY25]].
|-
! style="text-align:left" | In EUR billion
Line 349 ⟶ 352:
** [[Definition:AXA Asia, Africa & EME-LATAM|Asia, Africa & EME-LATAM]] (+14%) driven by Türkiye from higher average premiums and volumes.
** France (+9%) with strong volume growth in all [[Definition:Business mix|lines of business]], from direct business and proprietary agent networks, combined with favorable price effects in Motor.
* [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]] Reinsurance grew by 8% to EUR 2.6bn, driven by growth supported by alternative capital and favorable price effects in Casualty, partly offset by a softening in other lines.
 
{{chunk|doc=chq99br5nr|c=21|p=5}}
'''Combined ratio'''
 
* The all-year combined ratio improved by 0.3 pointspoint to 90.6%, mainly driven by:
** Lower undiscounted current year loss ratio excluding natural catastrophe (-0.3 pointspoint) from further margin expansion in Commercial lines (-0.5 pointspoint), driven by the SME & mid-market business (-0.9 pointspoint) in a favorable pricing environment, while margins at [[Definition:AXA XL|AXA XL]] Insurance were stable at attractive levels (+0.1 pointspoint).
** Lower undiscounted current year loss ratio excluding natural catastrophe (-0.3 pointspoint) from further margin expansion in Personal lines (-0.4 pointspoint) in a conducive pricing environment.
** Lower expense ratio (-0.3 pointspoint) primarily from lower non-commission expense ratio reflecting efficiency gains.
** Lower natural catastrophe charges (-0.4 pointspoint to 3.4%) more than offset by lower prior years' reserve development (+0.7 pointspoint at -1.1%).
 
{{chunk|doc=chq99br5nr|c=22|p=6}}
Line 497 ⟶ 500:
'''Holdings [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]]'''
 
* Holdings [[Definition:Underlying earnings|underlying earnings]]{{fn ref|14|2=Including banking activities.}} remained broadly stable at EUR -1.2bn2 bn.
 
== Ratings and glossary ==
Line 728 ⟶ 731:
* Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements due to known and unknown risks and uncertainties outside [[Definition:AXA|AXA]]’s control.
* [[Definition:AXA|AXA]] disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable laws and regulations.
* The press release refers to non-GAAP financial measures (APMs) used by Management, which generally have no standardized meaning and may not be comparable to measures used by other companies.
* Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, the Group’s consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS.
* "[[Definition:Underlying earnings|Underlying earnings]]", [[Definition:Underlying earnings per share|UEPS]], "underlying return on equity", "combined ratio", and "debt gearing" are APMs as defined in ESMA’s guidelines and the AMF’s related position statement.
Line 1,396 ⟶ 1,399:
<div style="overflow-x:auto">
{| id="t17" class="wikitable fintable"
|+ 17 <nowiki>|</nowiki> NB CSM to NBV by [[Definition:Business mix|business line]], [[Definition:Full year 2025|FY25]]FY.
|-
! colspan="4" style="text-align:left" | NB CSM to NBV
Line 1,499 ⟶ 1,502:
 
{{chunk|doc=chq99br5nr|c=49|p=20}}
'''Investor events [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]]'''
 
* The [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]] Shareholder's Annual General Meeting: is scheduled for April 30, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].
* First quarter [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]] Activity Indicators: will be released on May 5, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].
* The HY26 [[Definition:Earnings release|Earnings Release]]: is scheduled for July 31, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].
* [[Definition:AXA|AXA]] Investor Day: will take place on September 21, [[Definition:Year 2026|2026]].